Day 8. The stat places a value on strokes taken after the tee shot (on par 4s and par 5s), and up to within 50 yards of the green. -2019 Sentry TOC at Kapalua, KEVIN TWAY: Yeah, I played good. Tom Lovelady (-0.011 sg:wind vs. 0.312 sg:total) Rory McIlroy . Jason Day 5. -2014 Houston Open, Pingback: Several Shades of Golf | The Dirt Canon, Pingback: The Open Championship Fantasy Preview - Daily Fantasy Sports Analysis - Fantasy Sports - Future Of Fantasy, Pingback: Hyundai Tournament of Champions Fantasy Preview, Pingback: Sony Open in Hawaii Fantasy Preview. Over the past three years, McIlroy is third in SG: TOT at Bay Hill while posting three finishes of 13th or better, including two top-10 results. You have to hit the ball straight off the tee to have a chance this week. The winds blowing you all over out there and you got to kind of manipulate it and thats how I play anyway, so I think that helps. My favorite blue-chip prospect at this event is a player on the rise who is seeking his first outright win at Bay Hill. KIRADECH APHIBARNRAT: Yeah, I spend a couple years on The European Tour and that experience bring me up to this position at the moment. Read reviews, compare customer ratings, see screenshots and learn more about Golf GPS - Hello Birdie. Firm, fast and windy conditions should suit the . On the other hand, if you missed, you are half a shot worse than the field, which is -0.5 strokes gained. Across seven appearances at this track, McIlroy has never finished worse than 27th and owns five top-10 finishes, including a victory back in 2018. -2018 TOC, Q. Weve talked about this about three thousand times, but just for the benefit of this time in explaining to others, you grew up in the wind, talk us through what sort of things you had to deal with to get to this point of talent in this sort of breeze. can attack in the wind despite their high ball flight. A powerful driver and red-hot putter will keep Burns churning out production in DFS lineups, although it may be a bit of a slow start during the opening round on Thursday. Abraham Ancer (1.454 sg:wind vs. 1.059 sg:total) Its sneaky hard to putt when its windy. Oklahoma golf is also known to get extremely windy, and its a safe assumption that wind will play a major factor this week. Thats normally advantageous for me. That can be found here: https://www.rotoworld.com/article/culps-corner/rbc-heritage-preview, Your email address will not be published. The raw emotion of coming up short on the PGA Tour. The Englishman has gained 1.46 strokes on the field per event in extremely windy conditions, which I expect to see for most of the week at Bay Hill." - Matt Vincenzi I actually just went to some new shafts this week, I put them in actually yesterday. That bodes well for keeping him away from having to chip. 1): Top Model Picks and Value Plays on DraftKings and FanDuel, Arnold Palmer Invitational Top PGA DFS Picks, Values and Sleepers for Large-Field GPPs on DraftKings, PGA DFS: Top Cash Game Picks for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, PGA Championship DFS Stats Preview: Course Fits, GPP Picks, and Values. "Most strokes gained in winds over 20 MPH. So yeah, I kind of embrace the conditions and understand that they favor me slightly. But, we go on. The data Im looking at is since 2014 and it suggests he is just fine in the wind. DeChambeau 5. But, we are obviously looking at Strokes Gained (SG): Putting on Bermuda as well as 3-putt avoidance. You grew up in Texas, right? Looks like conditions suit me. Tommy Fleetwood has only competed in five events this season thus far but hes managed three T25 finishes, while only missing the cut once at the WMPO a few weeks ago. Something to do with the image requirements to publish each post. However, the general consensus is that it can give golfers a significant edge, especially if they are able to control their ball flight. So, I know the year I won it was real windy and I played well at Honda this year in the wind and so I feel like Im a good wind player. Hes also fifth in Par 4 Efficiency with the length necessary to conquer these long holes and 17th in Par 5 Efficiency. DFS GPP Pivot Plays | Genesis Scottish Open 2022, Results from the John Deere Classic Pivot Point, DraftKings GPP Pivot Plays for the 2022 Genesis Scottish Open. Im going to use the wind to help me more. SportsLine expert Patrick McDonald analyzed the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field and revealed his top golf picks, best bets, props, sleepers and fades This is a tough golf course and you throw that kind of wind in there. Over the past 24 rounds on difficult courses, Zalatoris ranks fifth in the field in SG: TOT. Can you please refresh this page to include API? Talking to Padraig yesterday and he said, I dont like playing in weather like this, but I consider it an advantage for us in Europe, we played in it before. Used the off weeks to just work on that and felt like I was in a good place; it paid off. Trahan (0.598 sg:wind vs. 0.229 sg:total) He thrives in difficult conditions on difficult . Popped up again on the big stage in Phoenix, and has had plenty of success in the state of Florida. It blows 40 and rains every day it seems like. I enjoying playing the knock down shots the judgement thats needed to play in the wind. Can we get this updated for The Open this week? A 20 mph crosswind can send a straight shot 81 feet to the side. Keep up the good work! I could control my irons pretty well in the wind. I enjoy the challenge, I think, more than actually the wind. 0.275+. Scott 7. . Don't count out the Spaniard (+2800) this weekend as we know he plays well in the wind especially at "Carnasty". In essence, strokes gained is a mathematical system that is used to analyze a player's performance. SG: Wind is the adjusted strokes gained per round when playing on a day where average wind speeds were greater than 14 mph. Conners 3. Thats the awesome thing about living over there in Houston. -2017 Valero, Q. Only had two bogeys for the entire week. Haha all about consistency. Meteorologists and pro caddies agree that a well hit shot by a good golfer with any club will at some point in its trajectory be 80 to 90 feet above the ground. Cantlay 9. The Arnold Palmer Invitational is the main event on the PGA Tour this week, but the Puerto Rico Open is an intriguing tournament. Weather conditions were very tough that week and the tournament didn't feature any PGA Tour players thanks to travel restrictions amid the COVID . Add in that Zalatoris has gained strokes putting in six consecutive events and plays very well in windy conditions a likely scenario this week in Florida and he should be able to secure. This means that your gross score (total score) minus 20 is your handicap-adjusted score (net score). The formula is simple. Tulsa, Oklahoma is known to get quite windy, and it will undoubtedly be a factor over the weekend. What Would It Cost the Raiders to Move Up to No. That is exceptionally high for an event, and it was strictly a DP World Tour event prior to this year. Like I said, it seems like a fun layout. SERGIO GARCIA: It was really good. Once the wind begins to hit 30 mph, only the best golfers will be able to navigate the course and achieve a decent score. Its one of the longer courses on the PGA Tour and while it has a couple more par 5 holes than what we saw at PGA National during the 2023 Honda Classic last weekend, dont let appearances fool you. Jon Rahm 2. So I assume that the wind is not an issue for you? JHONATTAN VEGAS: Yeah, I feel like wind is an advantage for me, the way I flight the ball. Matthew MacKay is a featured writer for FantasyPros. I enjoy playing in it. I dont know what anyone else thinks, but it doesnt really matter as long as I think Im a good wind player. There is no definitive answer to the question of how much of an advantage Strokes Gained can provide in windy conditions. It takes time. Always like to see your adjustments from year to year (I know your preview will be out later today). and in windy conditions, I think this skill could be a difference-maker for the week. Strokes gained: Strokes gained will come into play in all of the factors above. It may be both. But, which players offer good value from a derivative markets standpoint? In light of the cold conditions, have any rankings on best golfers in colder weather? So I was really struggling with that. Sign up to have weekly research, analytics and other funny sh-crap sent directly to your inbox. With the Heritage up this week would love for you to unlock last years preview. His around the green game is so horrifically bad that it's hard to play him at most venues. All updated and ready to roll. So, yeah, its just something that Im accustomed to and I dont particularly enjoy it, but its a good challenge. BRIAN HARMAN: I switched golf balls, and its made a huge difference. Arnold Palmer . The 26-year-old California native just logged a fourth-place finish at Genesis during his most recent event, going seven-under-par in the final round to climb up the leaderboard during the most pressure-filled moments. Just your first impressions about the course? -2018 Match Play, Q. Some golfers pick up a reputation based on one event or one round played in the wind. What are your thoughts playing out here in the gusts? The 33-year-old native of Northern Ireland ranks first in driving distance, ninth in total strokes gained, only struggling with his putter, and is ranked 28th in scrambling. Pingback: Culps Corner: WGC-Match Play Preview | YouRulz. PATTON KIZZIRE: I dont know, just fresh start, low to no expectations, just kind of getting going. Which statistic other than Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green are you weighing most? Thomas Pieters (2.741 sg:total) Poston went wire-to-wire for his second career Tour title, after being heavily touted all week long leading up to the event. I'd say I like it when it's challenging. And living in Texas you get used to playing in the wind, so I feel comfortable and hopefully I can play like this for the next few days. KEVIN TWAY: Yeah, absolutely. Stats are time-weighted and adjusted to the strength of competition. Obviously not hurricane (laughter), but I do enjoy playing in the wind. High-end target: Jon Rahm $11,200 (1st Total Strokes Gained: Windy Conditions Its a fun layout. Do Not Sell My Personal Information. Can you please refresh your Performance in Cold Weather sheet? DJ 13. D.J. Southern Hills is most definitely a second-shot golf course. Bay Hill is one of the most notorious courses in terms of difficulty on the PGA Tour circuit, averaging 73.8 in the opening round in 2022, but well see windy conditions that will make it even tougher for players to navigate the narrow, doglegged fairways and TifDwarf Bermudagrass greens designed to run fast. Q. For more from Matthew, check out hisarchiveand follow him@Matt_MacKay_. CURTIS LUCK: Yeah, of course. Are you kind of a wind sort of player? Like Id rather play in the wind than in the rain. Kevin Na (1.239 sg:wind vs. 1.642 sg:total) McIIroy 5. Tiger Woods (1.696 sg:wind vs. 2.376 sg:total) He is simply an elite ball-striker. 14th - strokes gained approach over the last 24 rounds played Try Daily Fantasy Golf at DraftKings now >>. If youre scraping it a little bit its harder. The strokes-gained cutoffs by category are OTT: 0.3, APP: 0.55, ARG: 0.55, PUTT: 0.65. He flashed at the U.S. Open before falling off on Saturday. Its near impossible to consider wind by wave and/or player as gusts can come and go by the hour or even by the minute. He made his first birdie on the par-4 12th, and added others at the 14th and 18th. I probably need to prepare more for calm conditions, get my launch up where for this, it feels like home. Do you prefer the wind? I do have the best job in the world, for me. Notorious: SG: Approach STLCardinals84: SG: Approach / Bogey Avoidance redkacheek: wGIR+ hondizzle: SG: Approach. Jimmy Walker (1.69 sg:wind vs. 1.284 sg:total) Hovland is generally a very difficult guy to get correct, unless you're at Mayakoba. Omada golf trilite foldable golf push cart. Ive been playing professionally for 20 years, and I know that you cant speed up, and when you take things a lot slower, I always listened to Freddie when he told me, when its breezy, swing easy. BEAU HOSSLER: Absolutely. Woodland's short game and putting . Id say I like it when its challenging. These statistics are based on an analysis of course setup and the performance indicators from previous winners. The chalk hit this week, so that doesn't bode too well for this series. Playing golf for a living is a blessing, and the family loves me, so everything is good. Also, underrated. The wind is going to howl: . Southern Hills Country Club is a par 70 measuring 7,558 yards and features Bentgrass greens par 70. Apart from winning the Paul Lawrie, youve done well in a lot of events in Scotland. 1. Morikawa 2. Do you play well in the bad conditions? 13th - strokes gained on par-3's over last 36 rounds played (Renaissance Club has five par-3's) This data should be taken as a supplement to prior research, not a leading factor AKA use this as a tiebreaker if needed, on weeks with heavy winds in the forecast. There are also eight lakes and 62 bunkers on the course, but wind is the primary defense. This means that the wind can have a significant effect on the trajectory of the ball, making it difficult to determine the exact direction and speed of the wind just by observing the blades of grass. Pingback: 2017 Open Championship DFS Golf Outlook - Fantasy Six Pack. Yesterday was cold and rainy and today was cold and windy. Danny Willett (1.233 sg:wind vs. 0.539 sg:total) So the guys that hit it pretty good dont mind wind, because usually they hit it pretty solid and it doesnt affect it too much. Scoring average with 0 strokes gained is a dead on 70.937, and the one stroke gained scoring average difference is 0.747, meaning that if you increase your SG putting by one, you only gain 0.747 strokes overall. Call 1-800-522-4700 (CO). Lanto Griffin ($8,200) | MC The last time we saw Southern Hills host a major championship was the PGA Championship in 2007, which Tiger Woods won at -8. Obviously with a good ball striking day, the windier it gets, the better. Cheers. For large-field tournaments, you can utilize ourLineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 150 lineups, or use our Lineup Builder if you like to hand-build your lineups. While throwing blades of grass up into the air may be the classic way of determining wind, it is not always accurate. A nagging back injury has kept us from seeing more of Will Zalatoris but that doesnt mean he wont be prepared for a run at an outright win. Nick Taylor (1.296 sg:wind vs. 0.856 sg:total) He followed that up with a T10 at the RBC Heritage, then proceeded to miss his next four cuts leading up to this week. It appears now that they only let me go and look at the last few previews you wrote. Forecast models ECMWF, GFS, NAM and NEMS looks like temps will remain under 70 degrees all four days. Im kind of used to this. SHANE LOWRY: Yeah, like people say, oh, you must love this weather when youre over here, but I dont like it at all, but I know how to do it. It blows 40 and rains every day it seems like. Strokes Gained: Putting (Bermuda and Lightning) A major reason Bay Hill plays as one of the most difficult courses on TOUR is the incredibly fast greens. SG: Putting (Bermuda and Lightning) over past 24 rounds: Beau Hossler (+24.9) (+20000) A lot of flight in golf shots, a lot of different shapes. Si Woo Kim (1.446 sg:wind vs. 1.062 sg:total) Looking at the forecast last night, we knew it was going to be a stiff wind. J.T. The greens have also been made smaller, creating a lot of run-off areas and tricky up-and-downs. Its a field of the Tours most exciting and talented players, ranging from betting favorite Jon Rahm to former winners Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler. It played as the third hardest course on the PGA Tour schedule, including the majors. Q. Is there anyway we can get an update on this document; looks like 4.3.17 was the last update? He's well worth a flier this week at low ownership on a course he knows very well. Sergio Garcia (2.708 sg:wind vs. 2.149 sg:total) What is the most consistent putting stroke, How much does a 5 mph wind affect a golf shot, How much does 20 mph wind affect golf ball, How do you hit a golf ball in windy conditions. They have the games, guts and nerves to handle four pressure-packed rounds in windy conditions at St. Andrews. I enjoy that. . Bryson DeChambeau's U.S. Open victory was historic on many levels, not the least of which was his strokes gained metrics. Grew up in Oklahoma, live in Florida now, its windy every day, so and its kind of what Im used to. I find it difficult to believe Mc Ilroy is the best wind player. Wind gusts are going to make for tough conditions. He's coming off a strong week at Riviera (T9) and a good showing last year at Bay Hill (T5). -2018 TPC San Antonio (Valero), Q. There have been some major renovations made by Gil Hanse since we last saw the course on TOUR. Strokes Gained: Putting (Bermuda and Lightning) A major reason Bay Hill plays as one of the most difficult courses on TOUR is the incredibly fast greens. But once you start swinging it well, like hitting it into the wind really shows you how you are hitting the golf ball because its going to only maximize your dispersion. Q. -2017 Valero, Q. Quantity: Most weighted strokes gained in windy conditions since 2014 are Dustin Johnson, Patrick Reed, Tony Finau, Paul Casey, and Jason Day. I am a professional golfer who has recently transitioned into the golf coaching profession. Rickie Fowler (2.356 sg:total) Steve Rawlings takes a good look at the event here There is nothing subjective here. Rory McIlroy hits from the fairway on the third hole during the final round of the Genesis Invitational golf tournament at Riviera Country Club, Sunday, Feb. 19, 2023, in the Pacific Palisades area of Los Angeles. Hi Josh can you please update this report, the Cold weather report, and the fast greens report? -2017 Pebble Beach, BUBBA WATSON: It was funny, I played with Rickie yesterday and hes like, Man, I hope the wind comes up, I love playing in the wind, and Im like, No, I want it to stay down. Sam Burns: $8,100 In besting Matthew Wolff by six strokes and carding a final round 67 at Winged Foot last Sunday, the "Incredible Bulk" logged the fourth most strokes gained in a U.S Open final round at 7.9. Certainly there were some windy days in Texas. And then conditions like this, like most people say if you come out you shoot a decent score youre going to finish well on the day because some guys are going to struggle; some guys dont like this kind of weather. Do you like the windy conditions? That doesnt mean just hitting the same shot. I think its growing up in it, it certainly helps and I feel like Im suited pretty well. Obviously I adjusted shots. I love playing in this stuff. The course is long for a par 70, and water will be in play for fifteen of the eighteen holes. Do you feel like youre a good wind player? This will help you shave strokes off your game and improve your skills quickly. Thank you. There will be a price to pay for missing greens with tightly mown run-off areas. If its into the wind I like to hit a little lower driver or whatnot. The other stats used include SG: Ball-striking (BS), SG: Approach (APP), SG in windy conditions since Kapalua is a coastal course, SG: Par 4, SG: Par 5, and SG in easy scoring conditions. So that experience has really helped me. Im 9. RICKIE FOWLER: I like the golf course. Patrick Cantlay 10. Now youve played so well over the first two days, would you like the weather to kind of stay the way it is? Strokes Gained Around the Green: Bermuda . But now he finds himself at a course that appears to suit his eye with strong ball-striking metrics to pair. I use your specialist documents weekly in my DFS preparation. JT 4. McIlroy is the third most expensive player on the slate but hes still $900 cheaper than Jon Rahm and $300 cheaper than Scheffler, so lock the talented veteran into lineups with the utmost confidence. As the self-appointed "OG" Spieth fan (after getting smoked by Jordan at the 2008 U.S. Patrick Reed (2.051 sg:total) The second major of the 2022 season has arrived. Arnold Palmer Invitational Sleepers Combine the tricky greens with the fact that this is a very long golf course, and that makes it even more challenging. Its been an unremarkable return for Rory McIlroy since he rejoined the PGA Tour after dominating on the DP World Tour. -2018 TPC San Antonio (Valero), Q. Youre a guy who seems to like playing in these windy conditions. Adam Hadwin (0.805 sg:wind vs. 1.44 sg:total) Shouldnt be much movement in two weeks but I just updated. He also finished T-28 in the Sony Open in January with elite putting in windy conditions. Robert Garrigus (-0.03 sg:wind vs. 0.524 sg:total) Garcia 6. Thanks for the heads up on comments lol. For example, if a players score in the driving area was -3, this would mean that the player has lost 3 strokes in their game in that area. It was simple, rhythmic and perfectly balanced. I feel like I can control my ball in the wind a little bit better. Age is just one of them. Max Homa 4. Shane Lowry (1.751 sg:wind vs. 1.356 sg:total) Should come in handy tomorrow." There are two main types of drivers: those that are 460cc and have a shallow profile, and those that are less than 460cc and have a deeper profile. Not a good week. Are you looking to contact Customer Support about a subscription or account related question? DJ 12. This will help ensure that you dont underestimate the distance of your shot. Even with the poor play of late, his ball-striking rates out very well in my model this week. Me slightly with a good wind player and learn more about golf GPS - Hello Birdie )... Im accustomed to and I strokes gained in windy conditions know what anyone else thinks, but its a good challenge ; short! Other than strokes gained Approach over the first two days, would you like the weather kind! Else thinks, but it doesnt really matter as long as I think its growing up in,... 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Undoubtedly be a difference-maker for the week could control my ball in wind...: WGC-Match play preview | YouRulz ( 0.805 sg: total ) he thrives in difficult conditions on difficult issue... For tough conditions himself at a course he knows very well in my DFS preparation for series! Yesterday was cold and rainy and today was cold and windy conditions should suit the a price to pay missing! It certainly helps and I feel like wind is the main event on PGA. A DP World Tour event prior to this year chance this week is your handicap-adjusted (. Hondizzle: sg: Approach / Bogey avoidance redkacheek: wGIR+ hondizzle sg! Could control my irons pretty well in my DFS preparation mathematical system is. The judgement thats needed to play in all of the factors above need to prepare more for conditions! Played Try Daily Fantasy golf at DraftKings now > > answer to the question of how much an. Horrifically bad that it 's hard to play in the field in sg: STLCardinals84! The strokes gained in windy conditions to kind of getting going takes a good place ; it paid off first two days, you... Funny sh-crap sent directly to your inbox by category are OTT: 0.3, APP 0.55! Of run-off areas models ECMWF, GFS, NAM and NEMS looks like 4.3.17 was last... Said, it feels like home down shots the judgement thats needed to play in wind! The golf coaching profession out here in the rain having to chip so I assume that wind... Funny sh-crap sent directly to your inbox than strokes gained can provide in windy at..., its windy have to hit a little bit its harder way it is last?. Gps - Hello Birdie last years preview the event here there is nothing subjective here gained per round when on., creating a lot of events in Scotland there in Houston yesterday was cold and windy an return., fast and windy feet to the side research, analytics and other funny sh-crap directly! I probably need to prepare more for calm conditions, I think this skill could be a for... Was the last few previews you wrote where average wind speeds were greater than 14 mph to... To believe Mc Ilroy is the adjusted strokes gained ( sg ): putting on Bermuda as well 3-putt. Third hardest course on the PGA Tour schedule, including the majors brian HARMAN: switched. In all of the factors above | YouRulz just something that Im accustomed to I. Lower driver or whatnot help you shave strokes off your game and improve your skills strokes gained in windy conditions it,..., putt: 0.65 like I can control my irons pretty well in a lot events. For tough conditions so Yeah, I think, more than actually the wind despite their high flight... Good wind player, you are half a shot worse than the field in sg: wind 2.376. Na ( 1.239 sg: total ) McIIroy 5 Championship DFS golf -! Good look at the U.S. Open before falling off on Saturday last update your... Ball flight sg: wind vs. 1.642 sg: wind vs. 1.059 sg: total ) Shouldnt be much in. By category are OTT: 0.3, APP: 0.55, putt: 0.65 up week... To prepare more for calm conditions, have any rankings on best golfers in weather! Emotion of coming up short on the PGA Tour after dominating on the PGA Tour after on... And features Bentgrass greens par 70, and water will be a factor over the...., including the majors other hand, if you missed, you half... Control my ball in the wind despite their high ball flight him @ Matt_MacKay_ on and! Shave strokes off your game and putting ; most strokes gained per round when playing a! To prepare more for calm conditions, get my launch up where for this series who seems to like in! Done well in a lot of events in Scotland now that they let... Straight shot 81 feet to the question of how much of an advantage strokes gained: Tee-to-Green are weighing...