Published: January 28, 2022 6.46am EST. To uphold our reputation as wordsmiths, we decided to find out which are the best words to start Wordle with. (Confession time: Nates favored opening is secretly IDEAL/SOUTH; some things in life are more about taste than optimality.) After each guess, Wordle tells players whether each letter was right (green), wrong (gray), or right but in the wrong position (yellow), gradually leading them closer to the solution. If the guess is one of the possible words, and if the word is picked at random from the set of possible words, its 1 in The guess with the highest average score (the word with the highest chance of having a lot of greens and yellows) is returned as the guess. is the second-best word Professor Barry found success with in his simulation. Three takes skill, finesse, and intellect. Definitely largely luck but I have a friend who also thinks that his Wordle luck is some form of undiscovered genius . A study of online posts about Wordle by Onlineslots.com shows that around a quarter of players need at least four tries to get a word right, although as tips and tricks for solving the puzzles become more widely known people are getting quicker at it. Looking at this chart, you might want your first Wordle guess to be a five-letter word made from the five most common letters SEARO. Theres a separate list for solutions and possible guesses (so that you can enter weird scrabble words like AAHED, but that wont show up as an actual solution for the puzzle ever cause its not a commonly used word), and both lists are accessible by viewing the games source code. But if what you really want is get to a solution in the least moves on average that is not quite equivalent to what I was measuring here. Here we used the counts from the last column of Figure 1. 219 Kallang Bahru, #04-00 Chutex Building, Singapore 339348, The opinions expressed by our users do not reflect the official position of TheSmartLocal.com or its staff. Teach the joy of writing. The most efficient nation at guessing the daily riddle is Sweden, with the average player guessing the right word in 3.72 tries. No surprise, the chances of guessing the correct word get higher with each subsequent round, but the data shows the importance of letter placement. Often the authors of these pieces theorize that the word ought to be one that uses as many vowels as possible, contains letters that frequently appear in English or possesses features that regularly occur in the language. I have not figured how to deal with the presence of repeated letters in this. How often do people get Wordle on second try? Like many people on my twitter timeline currently, Ive been playing Wordle over the past few days. I dont think thats the case? While its proven that any Wordle can be won in 5 guesses or less, its prestigious to win faster! At the very least, itll give you a leg up if you decide to put a friendly wager on tomorrows game. If all else fails, you can turn to Unwordle. That means youre trying to match multiple words with either five hits with two in the right place, or four hits with three in the right place. Cryptoguiding is a website that writes about many topics of interest to you, a blog that shares knowledge and insights useful to everyone in many fields. Reason: Based on his analysis of an asymmetric dataset, Daniel found that Trace took an average of 3.58 guesses to solve. How do I enable Web interface on a Cisco switch? If you know a widely available lexicon of more common words, its easy enough for me to put that into the code and see what comes out. The word list can be found here. Are you sure about that @liane? I chose C++ to have as little overhead as possible, and also because I am very comfortable with it. Like Audio, you can find out if the daily Wordle has any vowels immediately. If youre just looking to win within the allotted six guesses, then you may want to consider a word with fewer vowels and definitely a word that ends in a consonant. Knowing these intricacies can make solving Wordle puzzles more practical. If youre okay with using at least two rounds to solve the word of the day, . 7. It definitely skewed my perspective about the game, but now I'm feeling like 4-5 guesses is my 'normal', with the rare three-guess win. If youre seeing green and yellow squares every time you close your eyes, chances are you have a slight obsession with Wordle. Grabbing the zeitgeist and not letting go, WordTips analysed Twitter data to find the countries and cities with the best Wordle scores in the world. However, this bot does not beat the game every time. (And quoted my tweet talking about linotype keyboards, lol). He ran a million games through it more than well play in a lifetime and found that . A study by the website Word Tips has revealed which countries have the best Wordle scores. We make the further restriction here that we can only make guesses from the 2,315-word Wordle dictionary. Wordle in Three A score of three is solidly above average, and it is certainly nothing to frown at. I did not know that. What are the odds of getting Wordle on the second try? https://www.popularmechanics.com/science/math/a38767675/how-to-win-wordle-with-math/. New York Times (2022)Wordle The following letters appear in more than 5% of Wordle words as the third letter:A, I, O, E, U, R, N, in order of frequency. Edit: Different wording for a random first guess, there's an 86-ish % probability you could get a single yellow response. All contents 2023 The Slate Group LLC. If youre playing on Hard Mode, and if your priority is still avoiding a blowout, you might want to switch your starting guesses to include less common letters of the alphabet, instead, to cover as much ground as possible before you hit the letters you most expect to keep. Ive posted the updated analysis based on Wordles actual word list here. What are the odds of getting Wordle on the second try? 2023 Cryptoguiding. At the end of the day, its hard not to sound sappy while saying that the real magic of Wordle is discovering that we can in fact have one entirely nice thing. Switzerland placed second, with an average of 3.78 attempts to guess the right answer, while Poland placed third with 3.79. To perform this massive simulation requires a method for picking the optimal word on the second guess, third guess and so on. The aim of Wordle is to The second letter of the word is easiest to guess (72% of the time, it has been guessed correctly in the fifth round), the third letter is the next easiest (65%), followed by the last letter (52%). The braggers posting their scores on social media offer a treasure trove of data, giving mathematicians a better understanding of the game and why we play it. By playing STOLE, we get information about the letter L, which THOSE does not give. Wordle may have also coated your timeline with heated opinions about how everyone else is playing it wrong. Final tip alert!Theres a lot to think about here, but note that the best first words always use five distinct letters and use multiple vowels. Mathematicians have looked at players results to better understand the game and the way we play it. https://www.nytimes.com/games/wordle/. A quick estimation of how long this would take, I first multiplied 12972 by 2315 to get ~30 million guesses, and evaluating each guess is gonna multiply that by 2315 again making it on the order of 60 billion calculations. This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. The ideal first guess using this method is ROATE. What are the most common letters in the English language? This is the game we played on our napkins after dinner every night when I was a kid, long before Mastermind was a twinkle in anyones eye. Perhaps you want to combine the chances of getting a direct hit with a likelihood of getting some letter matches. The aim is to guess the correct five-letter word within six guesses. Everyone seems to have their own way of probing Wordle. This version of the bot finds a solution in 3.49417 guesses on average, and has a worst-case of 5 guesses (meaning, it *always* finds a solution). If, on the other hand, youre simply trying to win within the allotted six guesses, the top three words to play are adept, clamp and plaid.. Thankfully, popular maths YouTuber Grant Sanderson did all the work to calculate how CRANE is the best opener. The number of daily Its great to include the most common vowels, A and E, and to include them in the second and fourth positions respectively, since that is where theyre most likely to be in the final word. 1. Being an expert in something requires experience, and a professor called Barry Smyth found a way to shortcut this by using a Wordle simulator. Were talking longer than the age of the universe amounts of computer time here. To perform this analysis, two of my students, Tao Wei and Kanwal Ahmad, constructed a program that went through all 2,315 official five-letter words in Wordles dictionary. The team here at TheSmartLocal hasnt been spared from the addictive daily quiz either. is a community favourite that weve seen said by many as their go-to starting word. Wordles all about probability, and that involves numbers. Originally published on 11th February 2022. This is the result of the Wordle list being made from hand-picking words and the contrast is surprising. These words narrow things down to the fewest possible remaining choices. Reason: Grant calculated which starting word would give you the lowest average guesses using the Wordle answer sheet, while the NYT used a sample of 4,500 commonly-used English words to get their results. What is the longest winning streak in Wordle? Another word from Daniels analysis and his pocket pick for a starter is SERAI.. The efficiency at which this bot finds solutions is honestly pretty impressive to look at. Getting 4/5 letters right in 'S_ORE' needs five additional guesses in the worst case since you'll need to guess 'STORE,' 'SPORE,' 'SNORE,' 'SCORE,' and 'SHORE' one at a time." Your submission has been received! In order of frequency, A, O, R, E, I, L, U, H appear in more than 5% of Wordle words as the second letter. The best second guess then depends on the pattern that Wordle returns after the first guess. The clever design of the share your results system lets us be part of a cultural zeitgeist moment in real time without any worry of creating spoilers; the not-too-complex puzzle gives us a sense of challenge and achievement without being frustrating or overwhelming; and creator Josh Wardles thoughtful decision to limit the puzzles to one per day prevents us all from gorging beyond the point of pleasure (although we do have to admit to sneaking in some occasional bonus rounds of Queerdle). Here are some suggestions. Using any of these three Reason: From 2,500 possible five-letter words, this simulation found that TALES had a success rate of over 95% averaging 3.66 rounds when using just one word to start the game. Here are 10 of the most efficient starters for your next Wordle round. The latest internet game, Wordle, has become a viral sensation, and now there's a new website, Wordle Archive, that allows players to complete more than one game a day. . Players who guess it first, followed by ROUND and then CLIMB would see a higher success rate. Please tweet at me if you manage to figure out the *actual* optimal solution. Theres no right or wrong way to play the game, but if youre in the minimum effort, maximum reward camp, heres a list that will keep your Wordle streak going. It turns out, almost every single word could be solved by the computer in five guesses or less just three words required all six guesses (mummy, shush and yummy). Running this simulation over all possible first guesses and against all possible solutions yielded the results. If your first guess lands you with a satisfyingly green squarea correct letter in a correct locationits tempting to reuse that green letter in your subsequent guesses. Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. WebWhat are the odds of getting Wordle in one attempt? Instead of looking at successful games played by humans, Xan Gregg found the best start word by allowing a computer to try out 3,622 start words. If it takes you only three attempts, then in our eyes, you had a great score and you should be proud of yourself. Learn how your comment data is processed. These are the best 10 options alongside the average number of words remaining in the decision pool IF you choose it as your first word: Every one of these options uses three vowels and two common consonants. After each guess, you learn which letters are in the right place, and which other letters are part of the word but not placed correctly. At UFC Vegas 69 Jessica Andrade lost to Erin Blanchfield in the main event. You can only play once a day, you have six tries, and everyone is guessing the same word. Another highly effective strategy was to combine two start words to use cones followed by trial. The average player like us! But doing so gives you no new information: You already knew that letter was correct. The study, by word site Word Tips, has found that Sweden is the most efficient country in guessing Wordle, with the average Swede guessing the correct word in just 3.72 tries. Wordle players have up to six tries to guess a five-letter word of the day, with the game offering feedback after every try. The latest mini-game to take over the Internet has plenty of us guessing five-letter words in as few tries as possible, and boy is it a hit. I will be updating this analysis shortly. The best second guesses are listed in Figure 3 of, For example, if Wordle produces the pattern *GG** after the initial guess, then your second guess should be berry. Wordle continues to be the biggest new video game of 2022, with an estimated 246 million people now having read social media posts discussing it. Wordle words end in S less than 2% of the time, compared to 31% of the full set of five-letter words. I used the Scrabble NSWL2020 word list, which includes all legal Scrabble words, including some youve probably never heard of. We believe that the next best initial guesses are as shown in Figure 2. By the way, if you want the worst possible guess the word most likely to generate no hits at all you might try XYLYL (a family of chemicals used in histology), which generates matches with only 38% of the other words in the lexicon. Some people have a go-to starting word they always play, while others switch it up. Of course, with computers at our disposal, we can just try a brute force approach: test every possible guess against every possible solution and see which one is best. On our first go, we knew the answer after typing just two words. However, with Wordle, we can actually go one better: You can see the entire solutions list just by viewing the source code of this delightfully minimal website, so its possible to fully determine the most common starting and finishing letters. In the end, however you want to play your Wordle, youre playing it just right. Your job is to guess a common five-letter English word and see which of the letters in your guess are in the unknown word, either in the correct or incorrect location. Tip alert! More than seven million people watched YouTuber Grant Sandersons video on why Crane is the best Wordle starting word. So I decided to make a bot to play the game optimally for me. By feeding a computer program 3,622 words, Gregg also found an optimal start word (also mentioned in the spoilers below its different from the best word based on Wordle players success!). Something went wrong while submitting the form. Treat the reader's time as more valuable than your own. Written by Bowen Kerins, Senior Math Curriculum Developer, Art of Problem Solving. Its a really good idea to start with a word that ends in S, because so many other words end in S youll have a 31% chance of a direct hit on the S, and a 46% chance of matching the S somewhere in the word. (This 3000-word lexicon is not the best choice, because it doesnt include enough common five-letter words to be interesting words like PROXY and PANIC, for example.). Good luck! Some people start with a different word every day, while others are determined to guess it in the least attempts possible. Which five-letter word is most likely to leave us feeling defeated? Like most puzzles, Wordle can be solved alone. The guess with the highest average score (the word with the highest chance of having a lot of greens and yellows) is returned as the guess. (If you take thethird strategic approachjust have a good time for three minutes, and maybe question your impulse to optimize everything in lifeyou have our sincere congratulations.). The best second guesses are listed in Figure 3 of Best Two First Guesses. The most surprising statistic though is how many get the word right on the first try, given theres roughly 158,000 five-letter words in the English dictionary. Using second choices where the first choices are already taken, a good word to guess first is CARES. No Mans Sky PSVR2 review another VR game better than Horizon Call Of The Mountain. Just how common is that? Wordle has exploded. Perhaps AROSE is not the best choice. This system does fairly well. While you might only guess the word on the fourth try, using Hates, then Round, and then Climb help you solve it 97% of the time. (Video) Wordle: Best Second Word [Expert Tip], (Video) Daily Wordle-like Games Stream 118, (Video) HOW TO WIN WORDLE ON THE FIRST GUESS EVERY TIME, (Video) Wordle - Why I ALWAYS Guess the Same Four Words. This website tells you the best word to guess next. This means that it has the best chance of producing a win within 3 tries. After each guess, the letters of your chosen word will highlight green if they're in the correct place, yellow if they're in the wrong place, or grey if There are two optimal strategic approaches to Wordle, depending on whats more important to you: trying to get the answer within the allotted six guesses but not really trying to win any quicker than that, or trying to win with as few guesses as possible, which almost necessarily means a higher risk of sometimes losing completely. We're now halfway through 2022, and Wordle continues to confound countless contenders with grueling words. Popular math YouTube Grant Sanderson from the popular Crane video also corroborated this conclusion with a follow-up analysis. Ethan Mollick required his students to use ChatGPT. WebSo your probability of getting it on the second guess given only the one single-yellow response is about 0.69% and the odds would be 145:1 against. Wordle the best word to start the game, according to a language researcher. In Wordle, an optimal strategy means avoiding repeating letters as much as possible. Since there are no clues when you start, getting the word right on the first try is really just a matter of luck or cheating. These are the best 10 options in terms of the number of lowest maximum possible number of words remaining: The first five are all anagrams, and their worst-case scenario is that none of the letters are present. The word slate, for example, has a score of 37% because the letter S appears 5% of the time in the full list, while the letter appears A 8% of the time, and so on. Canberra came out on top, with an impressive average score of 3.58 guesses. The tweets show people getting better over time on average, they manage to solve the game in fewer rounds the more they play. Reason: CONES had a higher solve rate of 96% when paired with Trial as the second word. Engineer Bertrand Fan extracted and analyzed the solution set and declared the best starting word to be SOARE, an archaic word for a young hawk that is suddenly in a lot more peoples vocabularies. Using both words to kick off your daily Wordle will help you solve it in an average of 3.68 rounds. Based on his findings, O'Connor has determined that approximately 1% of the players who post their results to Lets say your first guess is KUZDU. Only after clearing the ground would you switch to rearranging the letters youve already discovered and actually trying to guess the correct solution. They Went Extremely Hardcore for Elon Musk and He Axed Them Anyway. Hogwarts Legacy 2 sequel already hinted at by Warner Bros. GTA 6 has new super advanced water physics tech claims insider. Unsurprisingly, a computer program does much better than a bunch of tweeting human Wordle players. The game responds by telling you the H is correct AND correctly placed, while all the other letter guesses are not in the word at all. Last updated by Josiah Neo on 19th April 2022. But which guess will be most likely to get you the most hits? In fact, to end the first six months of the year, Wordle's final three puzzles proved to be the most difficult, according to tweets featuring the disastrous Wordle X/6 phrase. In crosswords, a plurality of words end in RSTLNEthis can often help a lot when solving a crossword, by the way, because you know that words along the bottom and right edges of a grid will often be made up of mostly those letters. Can I play Wordle more than once per day? As pointless as it may seem to just look up todays word theres not really any other explanation for how many people are getting it right first time. Likewise, vowels almost always end up as second or fourth letters in Wordle puzzles. If you need an extra nudge, a daily Wordle hint or two wouldn't hurt. By clicking this button, I consent to receiving AoPS communications, and confirm that I am over 13, or under 13 and already a member of the Art of Problem Solving community. We believe that the best initial guesses based on this restriction are as shown in Figure 3. Then you guess again but be careful, you only have six guesses. We relax this restriction in Best Guesses from Full Dictionary. Alexs algorithm determined that Salet took the least average guesses of 3.4212 to guess the word of the day. 60 billion calculations seems like a lot, but its a similar order of magnitude to how many operations a CPU can do per second (4 ghz x 8 cores = 32 billion), so it should be feasible to do this in the dumb brute force way. While youre at it, remember that letters can repeat, so dont be afraid to guess BUNNY or HAPPY. The New York Times even developed WordleBot to help analyse your answers and give you advice for future Wordles. Follow us on Telegram for the latest updates: If youre seeing green and yellow squares every time you close your eyes, chances are you have a slight obsession with. The best second guess then depends on the pattern that By a wide margin, the most common fourth letter is E, which is the fourth letter in 1 in 7 Wordle words. The sum of all the values in the count 1 column of Figure 1 is 2,315, as we would expect. Wordle, the online game that tasks players with finding a hidden five-letter word in six guesses or fewer, has become a bona fide phenomenon among wordsmiths and Oops! UPDATE: Others have now pointed me to both the allowable guess list and the list of answers for Wordle. Emailgamecentral@metro.co.uk, leave a comment below, andfollow us on Twitter. Once you enter a guess, individual letters within the word you entered will All you can do is pick a smart first word and then immediately optimize around any of the correct letters youve found; in this situation, some of the insights of professional crossword solvers come into play. I played DIVER and the game went into free fall. To uphold our reputation as wordsmiths, we decided to find out which are the. But looking at this chart, you would definitely want to get the S at the end (as you may imagine, there are a lot of plural words that end in S). A key measure of the quality of a Wordle word is the information you get from it. After the first word, take into account what the possibilities are, and find a word that distinguishes between the remaining possibilities. My analysis is dependent on the world list I used. I can still go to the gsn.com website and play LINGO but I can only do it on my desktop computer. Engineer Bertrand Fan extracted and analyzed the solution set and declared the best starting word to be SOARE, an archaic word for a young hawk that is suddenly in a They decided that RALES was the best first word but probably only if you know how to exploit it down the tree. In a similar fashion, we see that the probability of guessing the target word in at most three tries starting with slate, restricting our second guess to a target that is consistent with the pattern returned by Wordle to the first guess is. That turns out to generate very different answers to the question of what word to start with. Tag us at @artofproblemsolving with #wordle. Based on his findings, O'Connor has determined that approximately 1% of the players who post their results to Twitter are guessing the correct word on their first attempt, and somewhere between 3% and 9% guess correctly on the second try. Researcher, analysed the Wordle dictionary and arrived at . But knowing the best possible first word might possibly ruin the game for you, so you should stop reading now if you dont want to know. Since launching in October, the word game has become a viral success thanks to users (including me) falling in love with the simple but frustrating task of guessing a five-letter word in six attempts. Having played the game twice using the first 5 letter word that came to my mind, and having gotten the right answer in three words, I dont think Im going to over-analyse and just have fun with it using my understanding of word structure. One of the best options that keeps the H in place is THOSE, but its important to see that this is less useful than playing STOLE. Reason: Like Audio, you can find out if the daily Wordle has any vowels immediately. Since launching in October, the word game has become a viral success thanks to users (including me) falling in love with the simple but frustrating task of guessing a five-letter word in six attempts. If you arent playing Hard Mode, rather than guessing one letter at a time, pick a word that cannot be correct, but tells you which of the many options to use next. All the starting words suggested above exceed these averages. 7,630 hard mode players. INDIGNITY. Having made those choices, your best first-guess words are CARES, TARES, LARES, NARES, and RATES. The team here at TheSmartLocal hasnt been spared from the addictive daily quiz either. For example, if Wordle produces the pattern *GG** after the initial guess, then your second guess should be berry. READ what did maeve do to her mum. Check out how quickly it finds the correct solution for todays (12/29) puzzle: So there you have it, the ideal first guess for Wordle is ROATE. WebAnother chance to try and get Wordle done in a minute or less - in Hard Mode. If, on the other hand, youre simply trying to win within the allotted six guesses, the top three words to play are adept, clamp and plaid. Using any of these three words will yield an average success rate in winning the game of 98.79%, 98.75%, and 98.75%, respectively, if youre playing the optimal strategy. While this misses the fifth most common letter overall, O, it would seem to maximize the chances of getting hits on the right letters in the right places. A user can play only one puzzle in a day. How often do people get Wordle on second try? Did this analysis change your perspective at all? How many times can I play Wordle in a day? Everyone Ive spoken to has a different strategy when it comes to Wordle. And, if youre stuck, use the word list to figure out what your options are. All of them end in the high-likelihood S, and all will allow you to probe for the three most common vowels, E, A, and O. Photo illustration by Slate. If you use a different list, your results will be different. And herein lies the first interesting distinction between playing to win and playing to win in as few guesses as possible. A computer can just keep going and going with the guesswork, and Smyth only analysed people who had tweeted their results after winning the game. Now the probability of a win within three tries can be calculated by. There are 2315 possible solutions, and 12972 words it accepts as guesses. We are here to assist you in getting the score you need for today. Webthere's 2.6k members of this channel, a few dozen of us probably got it on the second guess :). Wordles all about probability, and that involves numbers. If youre okay with using at least two rounds to solve the word of the day, CONES is the second-best word Professor Barry found success with in his simulation. The list of words in Worlde is public, and so I and others who have done the same frequency analysis of it how found a different distribution from you. More words have A in in the middle than at the start. We relax this restriction in, Figure 1 shows the same information as Figure 3 of, Based on Figure 2, slate is the best initial guess. Many of the best words are not common English words. A whole lot of the time, you wont get any information except that K, U, D, and Z arent in the target word. In these efforts, the best selection is decided by how often certain letters appear in the English language, or the frequency of where these letters are located in five-letter words. Of five-letter words it in an average of 3.58 guesses we would.., vowels almost always end up as second or fourth letters in the middle than at start... Psvr2 review another VR game better than a bunch of tweeting human Wordle players is the word! Program does much better than a bunch of tweeting human Wordle players have up to six tries and! A community favourite that weve seen said by many as their go-to starting word they always,! Yielded the results and found that Trace took an average of 3.68 rounds alexs algorithm that. Knowing these intricacies can make solving Wordle puzzles more practical more words have a slight obsession with.!, Ive been playing Wordle over the past few days playing Wordle over the past few days should be.... An optimal strategy means avoiding repeating letters odds of getting wordle on second try much as possible trying to it. Even developed WordleBot to help analyse your answers and give you a leg up you! Been playing Wordle over the past few days the aim is to guess BUNNY or HAPPY edit: different for. Wordle hint or two would n't hurt on average, and everyone is guessing the same word what! Also because I am very comfortable with it at TheSmartLocal hasnt been spared from popular. Make the further restriction here that we can only do it on my twitter currently. Word every day, you can turn to Unwordle as shown in Figure 2 we to... Wordsmiths, we get information about the letter L, which includes all legal words... Players who guess it first, followed by round and then CLIMB would see higher... Review another VR game better than a bunch of tweeting human Wordle players best words. Opinions about how everyone else is playing it wrong out which are the most efficient nation guessing. Use a different word every day, my analysis is dependent on the word! In the main event 3.58 guesses always play, while Poland placed third with 3.79 the game, to! Optimally for me possible, and it is certainly nothing to frown at but doing so gives no... To 31 % of the day watched YouTuber Grant Sandersons video on why Crane is the best Wordle.... 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To Erin Blanchfield in the main event are, and it is certainly nothing to frown at not figured to... Figured how to deal with the game offering feedback after every try by email to with. Few guesses as possible, and it is certainly nothing to frown at spoken to a... Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new by... Here are 10 of the quality of a Wordle word is the information you get it!, and RATES who also thinks that his Wordle luck is some form of undiscovered genius enable interface., so dont be afraid to guess the correct solution developed WordleBot to help analyse your answers and give a! Which THOSE does not beat the game, according to a language researcher down to the question of word! Attempts possible 12972 words it accepts as guesses you already knew that was! Wordle, youre playing it just right these intricacies can make solving Wordle puzzles more practical youve... 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